Monday, October 31, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/30/05

Peoria (AFL)
  • No game scheduled

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • 10/30 Pastora de los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 2/4 2R 1RBI 1HR
  • 10/30 Pastora de los Llanos: Jacobo Sequea - 1.1IP 1H 0R1BB 0K
  • 10/29 Pastora de los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 0/2 1BB 1K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/28 Yaquis de Obregon: Mark Difelice SP - 4.1IP 7H 5R(5ER) 1HR 2BB 4K
  • 10/29 Tomateros de Culiacan: Joe Horgan RP - 1IP 1H 2R(2ER) 1HR 1BB 0K
  • games of 10/30 pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • 10/30 pending
  • 10/29 Tigres del Licey: Tony Blanco 1B - 1/5 1E

Sunday, October 30, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/29/05

Peoria (AFL) [Defeated Grand Canyon 4-3]
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 1/4 1K 1CS
  • Larry Broadway, starting DH - 2/4 2R 1RBI 1K 1HR
  • David Maust SP - 4.2IP 5H 2R(2ER) 1BB 5K 2HR 1 pickoff
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1IP 1H 0R 0BB 0K

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • 10/29 games pending

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/28-29 games pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • Tony Blanco LF - 0/6

Saturday, October 29, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/28/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Peoria Javelinas 7-0]
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS (5 of last 7 games) - 1/4 1GIDP
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 0/4
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 0/3 1GIDP

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • 10/27 Navegantes del Magallanes: Ender Chavez PH - 1/1
  • 10/27 Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/5 2R 1K
  • 10/27 Pastora de Los Llanos: Jason Stevenson SP - 5IP 5H 2R(2ER) 4BB 2K
  • 10/27 Pastora de Los Llanos: Jacobo Sequea RP - 1.1IP 4H 3R(3ER) 0BB 0K; Loss
  • 10/28 Leones de Caracas: Ed Yarnall SP - 4IP 6H 3R(3ER) 1BB 4K
  • 10/28 Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/4 1R

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/27 Yaquis de Obregon: Joe Horgan RP - 1.2IP 1H 1R(1ER)
  • games of 10/28 pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • 10/27 Tigres del Licey: Tony Blanco LF - 2/4 1R
  • 10/28 Tigres del Licey: Tony Blanco LF - 0/4

Friday, October 28, 2005

King of the Hill

In a first for the Nationals Farm Authority, I had the opportunity to interview a Nationals prospect. Nationals RHP, Shawn Hill, was kind enough to take the time to answer a few questions. Hill was a 2000 6th round draft pick by the Montreal Expos out of Bishop P F Reding in Georgetown, Canada. He made three starts for the Expos in 2004 before playing for the Canadian Olympic team. It was after a strong appearance against Cuba that Hill discovered he was going to require Tommy John surgery. He spent most of this year rehabbing from the surgery he underwent in September of 2004. Without further ado: Nationals Farm Authority (NFA): Who was your favorite team growing up? Favorite player? Shawn Hill (SH): Toronto Blue Jays, and Robbie Alomar, I was a shortstop, so I could somewhat relate to him and enjoyed watching him play and have fun more than anything. NFA: The San Diego Padres drafted you in the 33rd round of the 1999 draft but you did not sign. You were then drafted in the 6th round of the 2000 draft by the Montreal Expos. Was there a reason that led you to not sign with the Padres? Can you describe your draft day experience(s)? SH: The main reason I didn't sign with the Padres was that I wasn't healthy for starters. The other big thing though, is that was the very first year I was learning to pitch, and I wasn't nearly ready for a direct jump to pro ball. I basically waited the extra year to see if I would get drafted higher, and also to make sure my arm would be healthy enough to handle it all. The draft day the first year was non-existent to be honest, I didn't even know I was going to get picked at all. The year the Expos picked me though I was with all my family and some friends, we pulled an all-nighter playing games and hanging out waiting for it, and then listened to the draft on the internet and waited to be picked, all in all it was a fun day. NFA: What was the first thing you bought when you signed with the Expos? SH: A laptop I believe, to keep in touch with everyone back home because international long distance was a joke, and I didn't even think of getting a cell phone at the time. NFA: Describe yourself as a pitcher. For those not familiar with you, with which current major leaguer would you compare your pitching style? SH: I'm almost primarily a fastball pitcher, and a sinker at that. I also throw a changeup and curveball which would be my out-pitch, but I rely heavily on my fastball because of the movement, and command as well which is are my two biggest assets. If I had to compare myself to someone, I'd say someone like Derek Lowe, because of the sink on his fastball, but I personally like to compare to [Greg] Maddux, who I'm obviously not nearly as polished as, but just in the way he pitches, more of a mental approach, and ability to dissect the strike zone. NFA: You pitched very effectively at each level you were assigned. What were the biggest challenges you faced upon entering professional baseball? SH: The biggest thing for me was fighting through my arm issues . . . I first tore my UCL in '99, so I've pitched each year with it partially torn, and just had to fight to not wear down too bad. The other big thing was just the learning curve for me the first two years or so since they were my very first years as a pitcher, I'd always been a shortstop growing up. NFA: What's the most interesting thing that has happened to you playing pro baseball? SH: There's three things that stick out to me. The Olympics are the first and obvious one just for the sheer fact that it was the Olympics and we came so close. The second would be my first professional at bat, which was 2003 in Harrisburg in my first game after getting called up, I hit a grand slam on my first swing. And the third would've been my first win in the big leagues with the Expos last year, it was the final game ever between two Canadian based teams, and it was on the 4th of July, and in Puerto Rico of all places, just seemed like alot of weird coincidences there. NFA: You were selected to play on the 2004 Canadian Olympic team. What was that experience like? SH: Unbelievable, but so disappointing at the same time. The guys on the team were the greatest group of guys I've ever played with, and the Olympic experience (i.e. Opening ceremonies, Olympic Village) was something that you wish everyone could experience at least once, overwhelming at times, but definitely something I think helps put things in perspective for you as well. The Cuba game for me was a huge learning experience as well, and the let down from it is something that I still want to revenge if you will, but I think will make me a better competitor down the road. NFA: You first tore your elbow ligament in 1999 but it wasn't until last year that you underwent Tommy John surgery. When did you know something was wrong? What was your reaction when you received the diagnosis? SH: Funny thing is I knew after my first full year, which was 2001 in extended and then Vermont, that I was going to have to have something done eventually. I told my dad back then, as well as some friends, that it was just a matter of time before it wore down too much for me, I just had no idea how long it would take. Taking that into account, I wasn't exactly shocked when Dr. Andrews told me I was going to have to have it done, but still was a bit to swallow, knowing there was a good chance I'd miss most of this year if not all, which was the case. NFA: How is the rehabilitation going? When did you first start throwing again? Where have you been rehabilitating? Have you noticed any differences in your mechanics pre- and post- surgery? SH: Rehab is going very well, I've kept myself strong and ready to go, the only thing that kept me out of action this year is that my bones in the elbow weren't ready to go yet. I started throwing in January, and was on the mound in April but got shut down three times in total due to the bones flaring up on me. As far as mechanics go, I feel the same for the most part, the only thing that may be slightly different is I'm trying to stay a little more compact and stay back through my delivery. NFA: Are you changing up your pitch selection and dropping any pitches and/or working on new pitches post-surgery? SH: Nope would be the short answer. I've always messed around with a cutter from time to time, but until I know for certain that the elbow is ready for alot of innings, with breaking balls included, then I'm not going to tinker too much with things, just try to get healthy and if need be in the future I'll add or subtract from the repetoire. NFA: Are you still under contract with the Nationals? Where do you hope to be in April of 2006? Have you set your own timetable of where you want to be and when you want to be there? Or are you taking it day by day? SH: Yeah, if nothing changes then I would be a six year free agent next off season, but as of now still with them. I hope to be in the big leagues to be honest, but in all reality I expect to be in AAA, and not going to be ignorant of the possibility of AA. I feel though that come spring training I'll be ready to compete with at least the AAA level, and if not the big league level, and then just a matter of establishing myself. The biggest thing is making sure the bone is completely healed up, and then I feel confident that I'll be ready to compete in Washington next year, whether it's April, or September. NFA: Can you tell me if there has been a change in atmosphere within the minor league organization since the relocation to Washington DC? Has anything changed significantly or has it been business as usual? SH: For the most part business as usual, but we at least lost the big concern of worrying about where we'll be next year, now it's just wondering who's going to be the new owner, and then the trickle effect of management to follow that decision. There is a certain sense now though that we're not the butt of jokes as an organization anymore, and that we actually are going to be able to produce some good players and good teams in the near future. Best of luck to you Shawn and thank you for your time. We'll be rooting for you.

Farm Authority Report 10/27/05

Peoria (AFL) [Defeated Phoenix 11-2]
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS (4th time in last 6 games) - 2/5 1R 2RBI
  • Larry Broadway, starting DH - 1/3 1BB 1K
  • Chris Schroder RP - 1IP 1H 0R 0BB 1K

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • games of 10/27 still pending
  • 10/26/05 Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/4 2K double
  • 10/26/05 Navegantes del Magallanes: Ender Chavez CF - 0/3 1K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • games of 10/27 still pending
  • no Nationals played on 10/26

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • games of 10/27 still pending
  • 10/26/05 Licey Tigres: Tony Blanco LF 3/4 1R 2RBI double

Thursday, October 27, 2005

Hit the Ground Running

Well now, Jim Bowden doesn't waste much time does he. On the heels of his extension, he quickly signs middle infielders Damian Jackson and Bernie Castro. Damian Jackson elected free agency after being outrighted by the San Diego Padres on October 14. He's serviceable role player of the bench as he can play 2B/3B/SS/OF. Additionally, the 31-year old Jackson has something the Nationals lacked in 2005, speed. In 10 major league seasons, Jackson has stolen 132/168 bases. He could likely fill the Jamey Carroll role assuming Jackson makes the team out of spring training. UPDATE: Barry Svrluga has contract details in Friday's article. Jackson signed a $700K deal. Bernie Castro is a 26-year old 2B out of the Baltimore Orioles organization who was outrighted to the minor leagues on October 7. In 24 games with the Orioles, he batted 288/360/350 with 6SB in 8 attempts. His minor league career demonstrates he has good control of the strikezone 212BB/273K in 6 minor league seasons as well as blazing speed 238SB in 310 attempts. He will likely get the chance to compete for a back-up MI spot along with Jackson. He is most likely to begin the season in New Orleans. No details of his contract are available, though the article make it sound like it will be a one-year contract, thus he will be added to the 40-man roster along with Jackson. What this tells me is that Junior Spivey and Jamey Carroll may not be long for the Nationals. Both are arbitration eligible and mave prove too costly to bring back to Washington. It's a shame because honestly, baseball skills aside, Jamey Carroll is good person. He was always the first one out at games signing autographs and his charitable works have been previosuly documented. But unfortunately, baseball is a business. And given the financial restrictions that Bowden is bound to encounter, having to worry about arbitration negotiations with utility infielders is not what he needs. UPDATE: Svrluga had the following quote from Bowden regarding where the signings left Junior Spivey and Jamey Carroll:
"With important roles on the team," Bowden said. "They can all fit -- and that's assuming there are no other injuries or trades."
I still don't see how all four players will be on the 2006 roster. Jackson's signing makes Carroll expendable and Spivey will also likely be too pricy. A tip of the cap to Jim Bowden for immediately addressing two areas of need for the Nats, speed and middle infield help. Let the hot stove season begin.

Six Months

Other than it being the gestation period of the baboon, that's how long Jim Bowden's contract was extended today. Confirming the stories from yesterday, Tony Tavares announced the extension of Bowden as GM. More importantly was the following announcement by Bowden:
The Nationals today also appointed Bob Boone as interim Senior Director of Player Development/Assistant General Manager, Andy Dunn as interim Farm Director, and Scott Little as Field Coordinator.
I don't know much more about Scott Little than the article states. The Field Coordinator coordinates all on field instruction, supervises all minor league staff, directs spring training, mini-camps and instructional league, creats player development plans for all players and servs as a Major League Spring Training instructor. Little will be filling the spot left vacant by Doug Sisson who joined the University of Georgia as a hitting coach/recruiting coordinator in June of this year. Andy Dunn was the VP of Baseball Operations this year. As the interim Farm Director, I imagine he will assume many of the day-to-day activities previously done by Adam Wogan. From what I can find on Dunn, he has little actual player development experience. Most of the work he has done in baseball has been in the sales, marketing, and this year, overseeing the actual field. He was quoted numerous times regarding the positioning of the fences, status of the mound, and condition of the turf. It will be intersting to see how effective he can be in a player development role, and moreover how much actual authority he will have. The Bob Boone announcement has both a positive and a negative spin. Looking at the glass as half-full, this more than likely means Boone will not be taking over as manager of the Nationals (assuming Frank Robinson does not return). The farther Boone stays away from the dugout, the better. The glass is half-empty if he is taking an active role in player development. His track record in actually developing players is spotty at best. An example, Boone was one of the people who recommended Preston Wilson for his standout defensive abilities. As I can attest firsthand, Wilson was far from a standout defensively. The underlying issue in all of this? Until the DC City Council and MLB work out the lease agreement and subsequently the sale of the team, the Nationals are going to hamstrung by the current management's interim status

You See I've Been Through the Minors on a Team with No Name

The Vermont Expos have delayed the announcing of their name name for 2006. The announcement was moved to World Series time, but more delays have forced a second postponement. Nothing has leaked out regarding their new name.

Farm Authority Report 10/26/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Phoenix 7-3]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 0/3 1BB
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 2/4 1R 1RBI 1HR 1E
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 0/3 1K
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1IP 1H 2R(2ER) 1BB 0K

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • pending

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/25/05: Yaquis de Obregon, Joe Horgan RP - 1IP 1H 0R 1BB 1K
  • games of 10/26/05 - pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • no Nationals played

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

Moneyball: The Next Generation

I wanted to touch on a topic that is not Nats-oriented on the surface, but bear with me as I'll bring it around to the direction that I could envision an organization like the Nationals go with their player management. Boston Red Sox GM, Theo Epstein, has rejected the team's latest contact offer (3 years, approximately $1.2M/year). As a lifelong fan of the Red Sox, it frustrates me that the Red Sox are trying to shortchange the GM in charge when Boston won their first World Series in 87 years. Why would they want to play Russian Roulette with PR? However, the dynamics between Epstein and the Red Sox got me thinking. I find the method in which GM Billy Beane has shaped the Oakland Athletics to be amazing. This was popularized in Michael Lewis' book, Moneyball. Cliff notes version of the book is Billy Beane took advantage of market inefficiencies (in this case players who had high OBP but were not traditional power/contact hitters were undervalued). Beane crafted the A's lineup on a budget a fraction of the cost of the big budget teams (Red Sox, Yankees, etc) and still won 90+ games year in, year out. One of the areas discussed in Lewis' book was the role of the manager. Beane viewed the manager as nothing more than a button pusher who in essence stands on the top step of the dugout looking managerial. It was Beane's belief that the GM put the pieces together and the manager was a figurehead who moved the pieces according to Beane's blueprint. This was epitomized by his conflict with of then manager Art Howe who was jettisoned in place of Ken Macha, who was hired to enact Beane's gameplan. Spinning this figurehead role forward, I can see the current Epstein/Red Sox conflict as the next iteration of that thought process. In this case, Larry Lucchino, President/CEO of the Red Sox, views Epstein as the public face for a blueprint crafted by a group of individuals. People like Josh Byrnes, Bill Lajoie, Craig Shipley, Bill James, Peter Woodfork, Ben Cherington, and Jason McLeod, who all serve on a sort of Council of Elders who along with Epstein developed a blueprint for the team. It's then Epstein's job to serve as the role of spokesperson for what the group has decided. In essence, he is nothing more than a button pusher to the Council's organizational plan. In this case, the Red Sox could then view Epstein as expendable. Who's to say that another person could not be inserted into Epstein's position with the mandate to keep things moving according to plan? And at a cheaper price. What bearing does this have on the Nationals? Nothing directly (other than perhaps Epstein's availability as a GM candidate in DC). Indirectly, however, I could see this as a manner in which to design the future direction of the Nationals.
  1. Select an owner who ideally will defer all baseball decisions to a team president/CEO (Stan Kasten?)
  2. Allow that individual to assemble a group of individuals who share the same philosophy of player valuation. This is important with regards to player development and scouting.
  3. Assign one person to speak for the group. On the surface, this person will serve in the traditional General Manager's role, but their ultimate responsibility is to act as a sort of press secretary for the team's roster moves.

Could this work? In theory, it's possible. While identifying a person willing to serve as a figurehead GM would be difficult given the disposable nature of the role, the greatest challenge would putting together a group of individuals willing to put ego aside and allow things to operate without the spotlight on them.

You Take the Good with The Bad

It appears that the Reign of Bowden will continue. Temporarily. I hope. Chris over at Capitol Punishment touches on Barry Svrluga's article regarding the status of the Nationals' GM. He hits on all the key points that have been running through my head. I don't view this as a horrible decision. It actually makes more sense than allowing Bowden to move on to Arizona, Tampa Bay, or Philadelphia (well, maybe it's OK to send him to a division rival). The one thing that the Nationals need right now is stability. With MLB allowing this ridiculous ownership selection process to drag on, the best thing for the team, in the short term, is to allow Bowden to retain his job. A new GM would have to learn on the fly in a barren free agent market. This may lead to the selection of someone who feels they need to make a splash to impress the future owner. And we all know how that worked out last year (see Guzman, Cristian or Castilla, Vinny). Bowden is a known quantity. If he is allowed to retain the job, it must be temporary, and with serious budget restrictions. The last thing the Nationals need is for Bowden to go out and throw huge dollars at a player in a weak market (cough ... Paul Konerko ... cough). He can serve his purpose as a placeholder until a new owner assumes control and hires his own management team. There is one additional concern I have with the retention of Bowden. As Chris mentioned, the retention of Bowden leads me to believe the Tavares/Bowden cabal will not retain Frank Robinson as manager. While not the biggest fan of Frank, I worry Bowden's choice of a replacement will be Bob Boone. Boone is part of Bowden's Cincy posse and will likely get serious consideration. THAT would be a mistake. Boone has proven himself inept as a manager in both Kansas City and Cincinnati. If people were frustrated with Frank Robinson and his decision making, Frank doesn't hold a candle to Boone's style. As scary a thought as it sounds. The best course of action for the Nationals is to make no changes. Stay with Tony, Frank, and Jim until a new owner enters the picture. And then, the fun will begin.

Farm Authority Report 10/25/05

Peoria (AFL) [Split DH 5-7 & 12-6]
  • G1: Brendan Harris, starting SS - 0/3 1BB 1E
  • G1: Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 1/3 1RBI 1SF; left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs
  • G2: Larry Broadway, starting DH - 2/4 1R 1RBI 1BB double; 1 2-out RBI & left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs
  • G2: Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 1/3 1BB 1K 1CS

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • Frank Diaz CF - 1/4

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • No Nationals

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/24/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Mesa 6-5]
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 0/3 1BB 2K 1CS
  • David Maust SP - 3.1IP 7H 5R(3ER) 2BB 3K 1pickoff; Loss
  • Chris Schroder RP - 2IP 0H 0R 0BB 3K

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • pending

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • no games scheduled

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • games of 10/23-24 cancelled due to Hurricane Alpha

Monday, October 24, 2005

Farm Authority Report - Rookie League Prospects

Top 5 GCL Nationals Hitters
  1. Francisco Guzman OF - The 21-year old undrafted free agent out of Venezuela had an impressive US debut. In 40G with the GCL Nats, Guzman batted 344/369/519 with 7HR. That earned him a promotion to Vermont where he played briefly (9G) with similar results (469/471/719 with 2HR). The 6'4" 200lbs OF needs more professional ABs but his start is definitely worth noting. He is likely to begin 2006 in Vermont.
  2. Cristian Ogando OF - The 19-year old undrafted free agent also made a memorable debut in 2005. In 38 games with the GCL Nats, Ogando hit 294/355/331 with 2SB. He is still filling out physically and needs much more experience before moving up the organizational ladder. He will likely begin the season in Vermont with Guzman but it would not be out of the question for him to return to the GCL for additional experience.
  3. Ryan DeLaughter OF - DeLaughter was drafted in the 5th round of the 2005 draft. The 18-year old high schooler is both a talented RHP and accomplished high school power hitter. It's his hitting that will carry him to the majors. In 33G with the GCL Nats, he put up marginal numbers 248/288/438 with 6HR. At the plate his swing can get long at times, as demonstrated by a 6BB/39K ratio in 2005. When he keeps his swing shorter, the ball explodes off of his bat. Until he gains control of the strike zone, his progress will be slowed. Given he was a 5th round pick, the Nationals may attempt to push him to Vermont in 2006.
  4. Brian Peacock CA/DH - The 21-year old was drafted in the 39th round of the 2004 draft. The Nationals signed him as a draft and follow shortly before the 2005 draft. It was expected that Peacock would go in the first 10 rounds of this year's draft. Peacock struggled in his debut 219/299/294 in 42 games in the GCL. He demonstrated a solid ability handling his position defensively but clearly needs to improve with the bat in order to continue his career. Peacock is in the enviable position of playing a position where the Nationals are very weak, so he will be given every chance to succeed. I imagine he will return to the GCL in 2006.
  5. Tim Pahuta 1B - Pahuta was a 2005 18th round draft pick out of Seton Hall. While he struggled with his BA (233), he showed some power potential, 12 of his 31 hits were for extra bases, as well as average control of the strike zone 17BB/35K. The 22-year old needs to accelerate his path up the organizational ladder to a level more comparable with his age. He will likely begin the season in Vermont though it may not be shocking to see him appear in Savannah.

Deryck Johnson OF was a 14th round draft pick in the 2005 draft. He made a brief appearance in the GCL. In 7 games, he batted 185/221/222.

Top 5 GCL Nationals Pitchers

  1. Matt Perks SP - The 20-year old Perks returned to the GCL Nationals in 2005. The 2004 18th round draft pick made the most of his return in 12 games (8 starts). In 60.1IP, he had a 2.83ERA, 1.13WHIP, 6.1K/9IP, 2.5BB/9IP, and 0.3HR/9IP. He will begin the 2006 season in Vermont, but his definitely showing promise.
  2. Terry Engles SP - The 19-year old was a 20th round draft pick in 2003. He, like Perks, returned to the GCL in 2005. In 12 games (9 starts), he pitched 54.2IP with a 4.28ERA, 1.30WHIP, 7.4K/9IP, 2.5BB/9IP, and 0.3HR/9IP. He'll join Perks with Vermont in 2006.
  3. Bartolo Francisco SP - The 23-year old undrafted free agent from the Dominican Republic made a solid debut in the United States. In 52IP split between starting and relieving had a 2.08 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 5.0 K/9IP, 2.3 BB/9IP, and 0.4 HR/9IP. This earned him a promotion to Savannah where he struggled with his both his control and hits. In 3 starts (17IP), he had a 4.24ERA, 1.82WHIP, 3.2K/9IP, 7.9BB/9IP, and 2.1HR/9IP. He needs to regain his control and perform much better in 2006 with Savannah.
  4. Andre Enriquez RP - The 21-year old was a 13th round draft pick in 2005. In 10.1IP, he had 0.87ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 K/9IP, 1.7 BB/9IP, and 0.00 HR/9IP. Vermont seems the most likely destination for him in 2006.
  5. Ryan Harrison RP - Harrison was a 23rd round draft pick in the 2004 draft. The 19-year old returned to the GCL as primarily a RP (11G - 4GS & 7 relief appearances). He threw 48.1IP with a 4.66ERA, 1.51WHIP, 6.3K/9IP, 2.8BB/9IP, and 0.7HR/9IP. Much like Perks and Engles, Harrison needs more experience to build up his stamina, and he'll join them in Vermont in 2006.

The additional 2005 draft picks also made appearances with the GCL Nats:

  • Jack Spradlin SP (8th) - The 21-year old was assigned but did not appear for the GCL Nats. He will likely return to the GCL in 2006.
  • Michael Watkins RP (15th) - The 17-year old made 5 appearances for the GCL Nats. In 9.1IP, he had a4.82ERA, 2.04WHIP, 12.5K/9IP, 2.9BB/9IP, and 1.0HR/9IP. He will likely return to the GCL in 2006.
  • Eduardo Pichardo RP (17th) - The 18-year old did not make a great debut in 2005. In 7.1IP, he pitched in 7.1 innings with a 22.09ERA, 4.91WHIP, 8.6K/9IP, 23.3BB/9IP (23 is not a typo), and 2.5HR/9IP. He will clearly return to the GCL in 2006.
  • Coby Mavroulis RP (21st) - The 22-year old made 9 appearances and pitched 25 innings with a 5.04ERA, 1.68WHIP, 10.4K/9IP, 4.3BB/9IP, and 0.7HR/9IP. He may begin 2006 in Vermont but a start in the GCL is not out of the question.
  • Antonio Evangelista RP (22nd) - The 22-year old appeared in 4 games (7IP) with a 2.57ERA, 2.00WHIP, 10.3K/9IP, 7.7BB/9IP, and 0.0HR/9IP. His age should require a start in no lower than Vermont in 2006.

Farm Authority Report 10/23/05

Peoria (AFL)
  • No game scheduled

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • Leones de Caracas: Ed Yarnall SP - 3IP 4H 0R 2BB 5K
  • Navegantes del Magallanes: Ender Chavez CF - 2/4 2R 2K 1SB double
  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/5 2K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • pending

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • pending

Sunday, October 23, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/22/05

Peoria (AFL) [Defeated Surprise 12-10]
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 2/5 1RBI 1K; 1 RBI w/ 2-outs; third game at SS with no errors
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting DH - 1/5 1R 1K double; left 2 RISP with 2-outs. His name links to a MiLB story about him. It mentions he was intimidated intially by Frank. He works out in the off-season with Mets 3B David Wright and the Upton brothers (BJ and Justin)
  • Larry Broadway PH - 1/1 double

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/21 & 10/22 - No Nationals played

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 0/4 2K
  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Jacobo Sequea RP - 1IP 4H 4R(4ER) 1BB 1K

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • pending

Saturday, October 22, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/21/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Peoria Javelinas 7-6]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 1/5 1RBI (w/ 2-outs) 1K; left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 5/5 2R 1RBI; 5 singles
  • Brendan Harris, starting 2B - 2/5 1R 2RBI; double; left 2 RISP w/ 2-outs
  • Chris Schroder RP - 2.2IP 2H 1R(1ER) 1BB 0K
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1.1IP 1H 1R(1ER) 2BB 0K; Loss

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/4 1R 3RBI 1HR (5th HR in 8G)
  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Jason Stevenson SP - 5IP 7H 2R(2ER) 3BB 4K; Win

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • 10/18/05 - Tomateros de Culiacan: Joe Horgan RP - 0.1IP 1H 1R(1ER) 0BB 0K
  • 10/20/05 - Tomateros de Culiacan: Joe Horgan RP - 3.1IP 4H 2R(2ER) 1HR 1BB 2K 1WP

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • pending

Friday, October 21, 2005

Baseball America Q&A with Zimmerman

Baseball America's Chris Kline sits down with Ryan Zimmerman for a Q&A. Most of it is fluff, but there is this one exchange I want to highlight:
BA: In your opinion, how'd the "experiment" go when they asked you to move from third to short? RZ: It was a lot different, just in terms of the game being a lot faster than it was in college. I tried it for a little while because they asked me to, and I think I could do it full-time if that's what they wanted me to do. I'm more comfortable at third, just because that's where I have the most experience. I'll be playing third out here; they might get me in some at short, but I'll mostly be splitting up games with (White Sox third baseman Josh) Fields.
Kline added this:
The Nats toyed with moving Zimmerman, who played the majority of his college career at third, to shortstop earlier this summer. But that experiment was short-lived, and when Zimmerman made it to the big leagues, manager Frank Robinson played him sparingly because he didn't want to mess with team chemistry.
What this tells me is there clearly is a lack of communication between Jim Bowden and Frank Robinson. Jim Bowden was likely the advocate for the Zimmerman to SS "experiment" to distract attention from the unmitigated failure that was Cristian Guzman. Frank Robinson then refused to play Zimmerman at SS in the name of team chemistry. Sigh. It's a good thing that by all appearances Zimmerman seems to be a well-grounded person who wasn't impacted by a GM and manager conflict. Because the apparent lack of communication between the GM and manager is an issue the new owner needs to address immediately.

Farm Authority Report - Short Season Prospects

Top 5 Vermont Hitters
  1. Francisco Plasencia OF - The 21-year LH OF made himself a prospect with a solid season in his first year with the Nationals. He finished a full season in Vermont 300/369/504 with 31XBH (11HR) and 14/17 in SB attempts. He is a bit old for the level at which he played, so it will be interesting to see if he can build upon his successes and work his way up through the farm system. His initial assignment out of spring training in 2006 will be most telling. If he is placed with Potomac, he is someone worth watching. If it's Savannah, he has to prove himself all over again.
  2. John Howell OF/DH - The 22-year old 9th round pick out of the University of Central Florida performed well in 29 games for the Expos (363/413/487) prior to being shut down for the season in late August with shoulder pain. The LH OF built upon a successful college season, 348/405/647 with 15HR in 59G with the Golden Knights. He is very much a work in progress. He should begin the season in Savannah where his age would dictate he needs to make an early impression toput himself on the major league prospect map.
  3. Dee Brown OF - The 22-year old was a teammate of Howell at UCF, not to mention the son of late Philadelphia Eagles defensive lineman, Jerome Borwn. Selected in the 10th round, Brown finished his first season with a 100% on baseball 283/331/484 in 47 games in Vermont after 312/395/608 in 59G with 18HR with the Golden Knights. Brown's season was also cut short by injury (broken finger). He needs to work on his control of the strike zone (12BB/56K). He'll join Howell with the Sand Gnats in 2006 with the same expectations.
  4. Leonard Davis 3B - The 21-year old NY-Penn League All-Star had a breakout season in Vermont after stumbling in his first year with the GCL Nationals. In 67G, the 2004 8th round pick batted 300/338/489 with 7HR and 8SB. His strike zone control is an area that requires improvement (12BB/64K). Unfortunately for Davis, his future with the Nationals will not be at 3B. With Ryan Zimmerman and Kory Casto ahead of him on the 3B depth cahrt, Davis may have to learn how to play another position to continue his climb up the organizational ladder. He will likely begin the year as the starting 3B for Savannah in 2006.
  5. Mike Daniel OF - The 21-year old University of North Carolina OF was a 7th round pick this year for the Nationals. The left-handed hitting OF played alot for the Expos finishing 260/345/357 in 67 games. He does not possess much power (7HR in 438 college ABs and 3HR in 235 professional ABs), and his speed is still a work in progress 6/13 with the Expos. He projects as a #5 OF though if he continues to work on his speed, that with his defense could carry him to a platoon role. A start in Savannah may be restricted by the presence of Plasencia, Howell, and Brown.

Andrew Lane 2B - The 23-year old 2005 27th round draft pick played for Vermont with a one-game stopover with Potomac. He didn't hit very well (204/291/248) and is way too old for the level he finished the season. He looks to be an organizational player.

Top 5 Vermont Pitchers

  1. Clint Everts SP/RP - The 21-year old former #5 overall selection in the 2002 draft spent the early part of his season recovering from Tommy John surgery. He made 15 appearances (8 starts) between the Gulf Coast League and Vermont rehabbing his arm. In 35IP, he had 1.69WHIP, 9.3K/9IP, 5.1BB/9IP, an 0 HR allowed. Much like a fellow Texan on the major league roster (John Patterson), Everts is still a few years away from making the big leagues. He has a plus-plus curveball and changeup and if recovery is consistent to many TJ patients, he should get his 88-93 mph fastball back. A definite advantage for Everts is his age, he has enough years in reserve to make a recovery and still be young enough to have a major league future, ideally as a frontline SP. I would hope the Nationals challenge him by placing him no lower than Potomac and in the best case, New Orleans.
  2. (Wendell) Gene Yost SP - The 24-year old LHP was a 20th round selection in the 2004 draft. After a pretty good debut the Gulf Coast League in 2004 (11G[4GS] 35.2IP 1.12WHIP 5.8K/9IP 1.3BB/9IP), Yost did a little bit of everything in two stops, Vermont and Savannah. In 14 games a SP with the Expos, he had 83IP with 3.25ERA, 1.20WHIP, 6.1K/9IP, 3.3BB/9IP, and 0.8HR/9IP. Upon his promotion to Savannah, Yost moved to the bullpen where he demonstrated he could handle that role as well. In 8 relief appearances (13.2IP), he finished the season with 2.63ERA, 0.80WHIP, 10.5K/9IP, 1.3BB/9IP, and 0.7HR/9IP. He needs to continue doing the same thing he did this season, show versatility, in order to put himself in a position to help the Nationals. If a SP, he should begin the season with Potomac, though a bullpen role may bump that up to Harrisburg.
  3. Chris Lugo SP - The 18-year old 2004 24th round draft pick started the season with the GCL Nationals, (28.2IP with 2.20ERA, 1.26WHIP, 7.5K/9IP, 3.4BB/9IP, and 0 HR allowed) which drove the Nationals to quickly promote him to Vermont where he both started and pitched out of the bullpen. His numbers there (5.13ERA, 1.48WHIP, 6.8K/9IP, 2.4BB/9IP, and 0.3HR/9IP) demonstrated he had the abilities to succeed when presented with a challenge. He was initially tabbed as a draft-and-follow candidate but his performance in tournaments prompted the Nationals to sign him. Lugo has done nothing to disappoint. He is still a work in progress and he needs more IP to develop. His 2006 season will likely begin with a promotion to Savannah.
  4. Craig Stammen RP - The 21-year old RHP was a 12th round pick in the 2005 draft. He split his time in Vermont between starting, 7G, and relieving, 6G. In 51 overall IP, he had a 4.06ERA, 1.45WHIP, 5.7K/9IP, 2.1BB/9IP, an 0.4HR/9IP. He projects best as a RP and will likely be part of the Savannah bullpen in 2006.
  5. Marco Estrada RP - The 22-year old RHP was a 6th round draft pick this year. He was prmarily a SP for the Expos, though he made three relief appearances. In 33.2IP, he had 5.08ERA, 1.40WHIP, 9.9K/9IP, 4BB/9IP, and 1.1HR/9IP. Scouts believe his stuff provides him with the opportunity to progress as a SP. Versatility, much like Gene Yost, would likely carry him farther. He'll be given a shot to compete for a rotation spot with Savannah

I'll also touch on 4 additional 2005 draft picks. None performed too well in their initial professional exposure:

  • John Lannan SP - 21-year old LHP 11th round 2005 pick. 5.26ERA, 1.66WHIP, 5.8K/9IP, 4.4BB/9IP, and 0.7HR/9IP in 63.1IP
  • Josh Palm RP - 22-year old RHP 16th round 2005 pick. 8.10ERA, 2.70WHIP, 8.1K/9IP, 5.4BB/9IP, and 0.0HR/9IP in 3.1IP
  • Ricky Shefka RP - 21-year old RHP 20th round 2005 pick. 6.53ERA, 1.85WHIP, 5.9K/9IP, 3.0BB/9IP, and 0.6HR/9IP in 63.1IP
  • Jeff Taylor RP - 22-year old RHP 24th round 2005 pick. 9.18ERA, 2.10WHIP, 8.6K/9IP, 7.0BB/9IP, and 0.0HR/9IP in 16.2IP

Farm Authority Report 10/20/05

Peoria (AFL)
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting DH - 0/4 1K; left 1 RISP, 2 out

Liga de Beisbol Dominicano

  • No Nationals played

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • No Nationals played

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional

  • Frank Diaz CF - 1/3 1R 1RBI 1BB 1HR (#4)

Thursday, October 20, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/19/05

Peoria (AFL)
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 3/5 1R 1SB (batting 0.562)
  • Larry Broadway, starting DH - 1/3 1R 1RBI 1BB 1K double
  • Ryan Zimmerman, starting 3B - 0/3 1BB 1K
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1IP 2H 1R(1ER) 0BB 1K; Loss

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol

  • Frank Diaz CF - 1/4 1R 4RBI 1HR(Grand slam)
  • Jacobo Sequea RP - 1.1IP 2H 2R(0ER) 0BB 1K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • Pending

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Like Sands Through the Hourglass

So go the Days of the Nats. Barry Svrluga wrote today about the firing of Adam Wogan and th extension of Dana Brown as well as answering a strategically asked question in his weekly chat. There was not much new in the article, however, the chat produced this tidbit of information, somewhat confirming what I read into the whole situation.
Is there more to the Wogan firing/Brown extension than it appears? Given that both Wogan and Brown pre-dated Bowden with the Nationals (i.e. neither of them are part of Bowden's Cincy Posee), is there something that Wogan didn't do that Brown did? Barry Svrluga: The Wogan/Bowden relationship didn't get off on the right foot. The bottom line: Bowden didn't respect Wogan's abilities, and Wogan didn't feel like he had a future with the organization. The relationship would've ended even if Wogan hadn't been fired, I think. Brown, on the other hand, quickly won Bowden's respect as a talent evaluator. And his record in the draft thus far -- led by Cordero, helped by the no-brainer Zimmerman, and possibly aided by up-and-coming lefty Bill Bray -- matches up quite well throughout baseball.
It would be interesting to know what happened between Wogan and Bowden.

Farm Authority Report 10/18/05

Peoria (AFL)
  • Game postponed

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol

  • Leones del Caracas: Ed Yarnall SP - 3IP 2H 0R 1BB 2K
  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Frank Diaz CF - 1/6 1R 1BB
  • Pastora de Los Llanos: Jacobo Sequea RP - 0.1IP 3H 4R(4ER) 1BB 1K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • Website down

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

What Can Brown Do For You?

Jim Bowden announced this morning that Dana Brown, Director of Scouting, has received a one year extension. Bowden commented on Brown
"I believe that Dana Brown is one of the best young amateur talent evaluators, especially when it comes to pitching, in Major League Baseball," said Bowden. "Recently, we denied another organization [ed: It was the Mets] the opportunity to interview Dana because we view him as vital component of this franchise as we build for the future."
The day after Adam Wogan is shown the door, Brown is promised one more year. Was this the other shoe to drop? The timing appears more than coincidental. However, there are no details about Brown's responsibilities expanding. Let's just hope this reduces any chances Boone takes over.

Definitely Not a Boon"e" for the Nationals

Barry Svrluga weighs in with his analysis of the firing of Adam Wogan. He conjectures that Bowden may look to Bob Boone, Special Assistant to General Manager, to take over at least some of Wogan's responsibilities. Barry explains that Bowden "leaned heavily on Boone's evaluations this year and didn't make a major move without consulting Boone." Would these be the moves that repeatedly brought in toolsy OFs like Kenny Kelly? Or maybe the roster moves that led to no viable SP options in September? Perhaps, Boone was the one touting the superior CF defense of Preston Wilson. The only thing I know is that Bob Boone needs to stay far far away from player development. His track record as a manager was less than impressive, 371 wins & 444 losses in 6 seasons (2 1/2 with Cincinnati and 2 1/3 with Kansas City). His teams showed minimal improvement and his abilities to manage a game were repeatedly questioned. If Boone is the reason that Wogan was fired, one can only hope new ownership is selected soon in order to put properly qualified people in key roles like the Director of Player Development.

Farm Authority Report 10/17/05

Peoria (AFL) [Defeated Surprise 9-2]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 1/2 1R 2BB 1K
  • Brendan Harris, starting 3B - 2/3 1RBI 1BB double 1SF
  • David Maust SP - 5IP 4H 1R(0ER) 1BB 1K; Win
  • Chris Schroder RP - 2IP 0H 0R 0BB 2K

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • Tomateros de Culiacan 10/16/05 - Joe Horgan RP - 1IP 0H 0R 1BB 2K
  • Yaquis de Obregon 10/16/05 - Mark Difelice SP - 6.1IP 7H 2R(2ER) 1BB 4K

Monday, October 17, 2005

Wogan and the Instructional League

Baseball America has their take on the Adam Wogan firing. It really doesn't differ much from the National's press release. The article does, however, shed some additional light on the cancellation of the Instructional League.

[The Instructional League] lasted from Oct. 2-6 with the players never getting on the field.

The hotel near special assistant to the GM Jose Rijo's complex remained under construction, according to sources in the organization. The complex offered little in amenities, and the players stayed at a hotel about 25 miles away.

Though Bowden wanted the group to remain in the Dominican, according to sources, arrangements were made for the players and officials to fly back early. The Nationals will be without an instructional league team for the fifth straight year. Bowden said the franchise instead will reinstate an accelerated program at its spring training complex in Viera, Fla., prior to minor league camp. Last year 37 prospects were invited, but the instructional league was going to take the program's place this offseason.

This meshes with reports I have seen about its cancellation. It's unacceptable that the Nationals would not have the facilities ready for use in October. Although, Bowden denies it was a reason for Wogan's dismissal, this is a failing that clearly falls at his feet. The fact that the facility was Jose Rijo's (a friend of Bowden) is irrelevant. Wogan needed to ensure everything was ready. The question I now have is whether its delay was a function of either MLB not providing funding or the Nationals' organization not adequately budgeting for the costs of its preparation.

Breaking News - Farm Director Relieved of His Duties

Apparently, Tony Tavares wasn't kidding when he said Jim Bowden was planning on changes to the Nationals farm system. The Nationals Director of Player Development, Adam Wogan, was relieved of his duties today. Wow. That wasn't the first name I was expecting to see leaving the front office. Is it reasonable? The short answer is yes. Wogan was the head of player development and the buck stops with him. The Nationals have only one contributor that they developed, Chad Cordero. Guys like Wilkerson and Schneider were there prior to Wogan's arrival, and many of the others (Majewski, Patterson, and Church) were acquired via trade. Is it fair? I would say no. Wogan stepped into the job midway through Spring Training in 2002. So, he's had a grand total of three years to prove his worth. Players that were considered up-and-coming (Cliff Lee, Grady Sizemore, and Jason Bay) were traded away by former GM Omar Minaya when the then Expos were competing for the wild card. It wasn't his fault the value in the minors was traded away for Bartolo Colon. Additionally, with the budget he was provided, there was limited instructional leagues and their Latin program has no money to sign players which eliminates a cheap source of talent that a lot of small market teams rely on. He took the job knowing these risks and in this game, unfair is not unexpected. What I find much more telling are the following comments:
Bowden said Wogan's replacement will not be announced until ownership is in place for the Nationals.
The Nationals will be operating without a Director of Player Development. This tells me two things. One, the odds that Bowden is headed to another team as the GM are diminishing. There is no way Tavares would allow the team to be rudderless at both the Player Development and General Manager positions. Second, this may lead to increased responsibilities to Director of Scouting, Dana Brown, who has drawn interest from Mets GM Minaya. The more telling quotes are the following:
"I thought that it was important to make a change in leadership and player development. I think player development and scouting are the backbone and foundation of good organizations," Bowden said. "I also felt it was in the best interest of Adam to make the decision now so that he could have an opportunity to get another job in baseball." Wogan said his meeting between with Bowden on Monday lasted about two minutes. "I don't want to get into anything personal between Jim and I, but there were a lot of things that led to this from a professional standpoint," Wogan said. " He said there needed to be a change philosophically. That was the only reason I was given. I wasn't given anything more than that."
This tells me there is a turf battle that Bowden clearly won. It was readily apparent that the sides in the battle are Tavares/Bowden versus Frank Robinson. But it is becoming clearer to me that the battle line are more the 2002 guys (Robinson, Wogan, et al) versus Tavares' alliance with the 2005 guys (i.e. Bowden's guys). The meeting lasted two minutes and one side came out and said it was to give a guy a chance to get a job while the other side references "professional/philosophical" issues. I believe it is a mistake to leave the position unfilled, unless Brown assumes the responsibilities in an unofficial basis. Under no circumstances should Bowden assume that mantle. This is for no other reason than their needs to be a division of labor between managing the major league roster and directing the farm system. If he is here for 2006 (and beyond), Bowden needs to focus on the big picture. He doesn't have enough time to do both. Establishing a direction for the farm system is part of his job, but he needs to do that from an overarching level and leave it to the Farm Director to implement the plan. Brown has done an admirable job in the Scouting department. If I read the hierarchy correctly, Brown would be instrumental in the recommendations that brought guys like Cordero, Ryan Zimmerman, Patterson, Church, and Majewski to the Nationals. Hopefully, this is part of a plan to hold onto Brown (or at least make it more difficult/costly for Minaya to bring him to Flushing). The impact that this will have on the Nationals in the hot stove league is unknown. The only certainty is the Nationals need an owner to get the ship moving in one direction.

Farm Authority Report 10/16/05

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional Pastora de Los Llanos
  • Frank Diaz CF/LF - 1/4 1RBI 1E
  • Jason Stevenson SP - 5IP 7H 4R(4ER) 2BB 4K; Loss

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • No box scores as of 10AM

Farm Authority Report - Latin American Update

Liga Venezolana de Beisbol Profesional Pastora de Los Llanos 10/14/05
  • Frank Diaz CF/RF - 1/4 1R 2RBI 1K 1HR
  • Jacobo Sequea RP - 1IP 0H 0R 0BB 0K

10/15/05

  • Frank Diaz CF - 1/4 1R 2RBI 1K 1HR

Liga Mexicana del Pacifico

  • Yaquis de Obregon: 10/11/05 - Mark Difelice SP - 6.2IP 6H 3R(3ER) 1HR 0BB 3K; No decision
  • Tomateros de Culiacan: 10/12/05 - Joe Horgan RP - 1.1IP 1H 0R 1BB 0K
  • Tomateros de Cuilacan: 10/14/05 - Joe Horgan RP - 1IP 1H 0R 2BB 0K

Sunday, October 16, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/14/05 & 10/15/05

10/14/05 Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Mesa 16-4]
  • Tony Blanco, starting LF - 0/4, left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs
  • Brendan Harris, starting 3B - 2/3 2R 1HBP
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1.2IP 6H 3R(3ER) 0BB 0K

10/15/05 Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Peoria Javelinas 8-7]

  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 2/5 1R double
  • Larry Broadway, starting DH - 2/3 1BB double
  • Tony Blanco, starting LF - 1/4 1K double, left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs

Friday, October 14, 2005

Farm Authority Report - Low-A Prospects

Savannah's Top 5 Hitting Prospects
  1. Marvin Lowrance OF - The 21-year old 7th round pick from the 2004 draft pick continued building on a solid 2004 in the NY-Penn League despite an inauspicious start to his 2005 season. Lowrance suffered a broken knee cap the first week of the South Atlantic League season. He was hitting .346 at the time of the injury. During a brief 8 game rehab with the GCL Nationals, Lowrance hit 321/390/571 with 2HR and 9RBI. In 57G with the Sand Gnats, Lowrance put up a respectable 288/342/425 in 57G. He projects as a corner OF as he progresses through the farm system. He has limited power upside at this point but as he fills out he could develop into a 10-15 HR #4 outfielder. He should begin the year in Potomac.
  2. Devin Ivany CA - The 23-year old catcher finished his second season with the Nationals after being drafted in 6th round of the 2004 draft. While his age is definitely a question compared to his level of competition, I don't necessarily hold that against catchers. Ivany finished the season 262/309/428 in 113G for Savannah. He showed a spike in power (13HR) after only 4XBH in 154AB last year. His defense is till a work in progress, but he along with Erick San Pedro, Salomon Manriquez Luke Montz & Brian Peacock, provide the Nats with a number of potential receivers for the future. Ivany should ideally be promoted to Potomac but with San Pedro returning from an injury, Ivany may end up on the short side of a platoon.
  3. Edgardo Baez OF - The 20-year old Baez showed a bit of improvement in his 2nd season with Savannah, though not much (246/333/394 in 125G). He has a balance of power (11HR) and speed (6 triples and 11/15 SB) while playing a solid RF. He has the arm strength to progress defensively and needs more AB to improve his offense. He has the potential of being a solid major league RF, but he needs to show that ability early in 2006 or he may fall completely off of the Nationals' radar. I would hope the Nationals would challenge him by placing him in Potomac.
  4. Luke Montz CA - The 22-year old Montz battled injuries throughout the 2005 season which impacted his numbers at the plate (224/328/466) but it certainly didn't curtail his power, 19HR and 68RBI in 343AB. Montz' future may not be behind the plate. He appears to be best suited as a 1B/DH type with the ability to serve as a back-up catcher. I'm not sure where he'll end up in 2006, but it may make sense to work him out at 1B in Savannah to start the season with an early promotion to Potomac if his bat comes around.
  5. Rogearvin Bernadina OF - I know the Nationals are higher on the 21-year old Bernadina than I am. The 21-year old just completed his third season with the Sand Gnats demonstrating little improvement at the plate (240/340/371 in 2004 233/353/369 in 2005). His calling card is his speed. In the last two seasons, Bernadina has stolen 59/69 bases. He showed a surprising spike in power with 12HR/417AB (only 2 less HR than he hit in his first 924AB). He has improved on his BB totals ([BB/AB] 19/278 in 2003, 60/450 in 2004, and 75/417 in 2005) . The problem I have with Bernadina is that he has not shown the ability to hit consistently. I imagine Bernadina may be exposed to the Rule 5 draft where a rebuilding team may grab him as a PR/late inning defensive replacement. If he remains with the team, I hope for his sake it's not a 4th season in Savannah.

Savannah's Top 5 Pitching Prospects

  1. Collin Balester RH SP - The 19-year old RHP continued to impress with a solid season in Savannah, 125IP with 3.67 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 6.8 K/9IP, 3.0 BB/9IP, and 0.8 HR/9IP. He has very good control of the strikezone with two solid pitches, the fastball and curveball, and a developing change-up. The 6'5", 190lb pitcher still needs to fill out and with that will hopefully improve his durability. He began the season one level higher than expected (Vermont). I doubt the Nationals will repeat that by starting him in Harrisburg. He may begin the season in Potomac but it wouldn't shock me to see his first few starts for Savannah.
  2. Daryl Thompson RH SP - The 19-year old Thompson, a La Plata, MD native, has drawn comparisons to Oil Can Boyd. He season was overshadowed by Balester but was solid in its own right, 53.2IP 3.35ERA, 1.30WHIP, 8.1K/9IP, 4.0 BB/9IP, and 0.5HR/9IP. He pitches with a maturity beyond his actual age. He had minor shoulder surgery in late August and is expected to be ready next spring where he is likely to return to Savannah, at least to begin the season.
  3. Greg Bunn RH SP - The 22-year old Bunn was drafted in the 5th round of the 2004 draft with the thoughts he could develop into a solid middle of the rotation starter. He began the season in Savannah where he made 11 starts, pitching 58.1 innings. He had a 3.86ERA, 1.30WHIP, 8.6K/9IP, 3.9 BB/9IP, and an unsettling 1.5 HR/9IP. Upon his promotion to Potomac, much like Campbell, Bunn struggled with his control (6.7BB/9IP) and continued to allow more than 1 HR per 9IP. He does not have overpowering stuff, so he needs to work on his change-up as well as changing speeds to keep hitters off-balance. Bunn should return to Potomac for 2006.
  4. Ricardo Morales LH SP - The 21-year old was signed as a minor league free agent in 2004 and provided a solid LH arm for the Savannah rotation in 2005. He finished the year with 25 starts (137IP) with 3.94ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 6.5 K/9IP, 2.6BB/9IP, and 1.0 HR/9IP. He does not have overpowering stuff but appears to have an understanding of the strikezone. He should continue up the organizational ladder with a full season at Potomac most likely.
  5. Brett Campbell RH RP - The 23-year old 34th round pick from the 2004 draft burst on the scene as a nearly unhittable closer for the Sand Gnats. In 36 appearances, he had 19 saves in 48IP with a 1.69ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.4 K/9IP, 2.8 BB/9IP, and 0.4 HR/9IP. He struggled on his promotion to Potomac but some of that can be attributed to a higher number of IP than he had in the past. As he builds up his endurance, Campbell has the potential to be a serviceable arm out of the bullpen. He'll return to Potomac in 2006.

The Potomac Nationals have a very interesting potential starting rotation in 2006 with Balester, Bunn, Thompson (eventually), and Morales all likely to be there for a large portion of the season.

Farm Authority Report 10/13/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Grand Canyon 8-3]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 1/2 1BB
  • Tony Blanco, entered game in 7th as DH - 1/1 1RBI
  • Chris Schroder RP - 2IP 3H 1R(1ER) 0BB 1K

Thursday, October 13, 2005

Instructional Leagues NOT Cancelled

At long last, I got an update from Nats beat writer, Barry Svrluga, in today's chat.
... half of it is running, but the other half is waiting for the facility to be completed.
UPDATE: It appear we have conflicting stories. In the comments below, Shawn Hill's fiancee stated that he (Hill) was back in Melbourne, FL and that the Instructional League was cancelled. Additionally, one of the posters at Capitol Dugout got his confirmation of the league's cancellation straight from the Nationals clubhouse in Melbourne. Also, I found out the following details: "They are cancelled for sure. The reason is that the complex that Jose Rijo was building was not up to par with livable standards, in the [D]ominican, not near DOMINICAN standards." UPDATE 2: I just got off of the phone with Nick Manno, Assistant Director, Player Development for the Nationals. The Instructional League has indeed been cancelled.

Farm Authority Report 10/12/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Grand Canyon 11-7]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 2/3 2R 1RBI 2BB double 1E
  • Tony Blanco, starting LF - 0/5 4K
  • Brendan Harris, starting 2B - 3/4 1R 1RBI (2-0ut) 1BB triple 1GIDP
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 2IP 2H 1R(1ER) 0BB 3K

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/11/05

Peoria (AFL) [Defeated Phoenix 7-6 ... finally, a win]
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 2/4 1R 3RBI 1K 1HR
  • David Maust, SP - 2.2IP 7H 3R(3ER) 0BB 3K 1WP

Nate commented yesterday if there was a way to replace pitchers in the AFL. From my understanding, this is not possible. It's a shame because thus far in 6 games, David Maust, Roy Corcoran, and Chris Schroder have put up the following numbers: 0-2 16.06 ERA, 2.92 WHIP, 12.4 K/9, 5.1 BB/9, and 3.6 HR/9.

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Farm Authority Report - High-A Prospects

Top 5 Potomac Hitters
  1. Kory Casto 3B - The 23-year old was a slam dunk choice for the top P-Nats prospect. He was named the Player of the Year in the Nationals farm system. Though a bit old for the Carolina League, Casto produced a solid season (290/395/510 with 22HR and 90 RBI) while adapting to a new position (from OF to 3B). He ended up impressing the managers of the Carolina League enough to name him one of the top defensive 3B in the league. This winter, he is once again shifting positions, from 3B to 2B, in response to the drafting and promotion of Ryan Zimmerman. I don't believe he has the abilities to excel in the MI, but he still has the potential to progress as a corner OF/back-up 3B. He should begin the season in Harrisburg, and has the potential to challenge for a roster spot in 2007.
  2. Frank Diaz CF - The 22-year old Diaz bounced back from an abyssmal season in the Florida State League and re-established his position on the Nats radar at Potomac in 2005 (312/341/498). He began the season splitting time between the three OF positions but quickly assumed the starting CF role where he remained all season. He showed a nice combination of HR (16) and speed (14/23 SB) in 134 games. I also see Diaz beginning the year in CF for Harrisburg with the likelihood of making the majors some time in 2007 as a #4 OF in the same vein as Marlon Byrd.
  3. Ian Desmond SS - The 19-year old Desmond made a name for himself in Spring Training this year for the Nationals. He made some spectacular defensive plays at SS, quickly putting the 2004 draft pick in the consciousness of Nats fans. He split the season between Savannah and Potomac, actually performing better with the bat at the higher level, 247/284/334 in 73G (296AB) with the Sand Gnats versus 256/326/384 in 55G (219AB). He showed speed, 33SB, but needs to work on his baserunning, 45 SB attempts. He needs serious work on his strike zone control 34BB vs 113K overall. Additionally, his error numbers were alarming (39) but I can attest from watching him play on several occasions, his range is impressive and he gets to many more balls than the average SS. He is still a work in progress and in my opinion, projects as an utility middle infielder. He could become an Omar Vizquel type (i.e. defense brings him to the majors with learning to hit coming as the years progress). He is another guy who will begin the season in Double-A.
  4. Salomon Manriquez CA - Another guy too old for his level (23), Manriquez put up respectable numbers for a catching prospect (287/336/479). His defense, on the other hand, was sketchy ... at best (14 passed balls and 6 errors in about 70+ games at catcher). He projects as a back-up catcher, and, you guessed it, he will likely be behind the plate with the Senators in 2006.
  5. Josh Whitesell 1B/DH - Whitesell's power is what puts him on the list at #5 (18 HR and 32 doubles). The 23-year old hit 293/409/524. Yet another guy too old for his level, his K numbers were alarming, 125 of his 275 outs were strikeouts. He did walk 74 times, but he really needs to work on cutting down on the Ks. Depending upon what happens with Larry Broadway, Whitesell could do anything from starting the season at Potomac again to platooning in Triple-A New Orleans.

Erick San Pedro CA - the 2004 second round pick got a late start to 2005 (he tore a ligament in his thumb in 2004), and only played in 7 games before his season ended with a broken leg after a collision at home plate in June. The 22-year old San Pedro will likely start 2006 in Potomac with hopes of quickly climbing the organizational ladder. He has a limited professional resume, so his future is uncertain.

Top 4 Potomac Pitchers

  1. Armando Galarraga RH SP - The 23-year old Galarraga continued his recovery from Tommy John surgery with a breakout season for the P-Nats. In 14 starts (80IP), he had a 2.48 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.9 K/9IP, 2.6 BB/9IP, and 0.8 HR/9IP. Upon his promotion to Harrisburg, he didn't experience the same success, 5.19ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 6.8 K/9IP, 2.5 BB/9IP, and 1.2 HR/9IP in 13 starts (76.1IP). Galarraga was added to the 40-man roster. He is likely to return to Harrisburg for 2006 with the possibility of being one of the first call-ups to fill a spot start for the Nationals.
  2. Bill Bray LH RP - The 2004 1st round pick racked up the frequent flyer miles in 2005. After a late start due to a bulging disk in his back, the 22-year old Bray made appearance for Potomac, Harrisburg, and New Orleans. He had his greatest success with the P-Nats, in 12.2IP, he had a 2.13ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 12.8 K/9IP, 2.1 BB/9IP, and 0.7 HR/9IP. He had bad numbers in a brief stopover in Harrisburg (5.2IP 6.35ERA, 1.94WHIP, 9.5 K/9IP, 1.6 BB/9IP, and 1.6 HR/9IP) before finishing the season in New Orleans (21.1IP 5.06ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 10.6 K/9IP, 3.8 BB/9IP, and 1.3 HR/9IP). The LHP Bray presently has an almost unencumbered path to the majors, the only LHP remaining on the Nats roster is Joey Eischen, a free agent. I see him starting the season in the majors and slowly developing into a solid LH complement to Gary Majewski.
  3. Mike O'Connor RH SP - The 25-year old was the Nationals Pitcher of the Year in 2005. He finished 10-11 for the P-Nats in 24 starts (167.2IP) with a 3.54 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.5 K/9IP, 2.6 BB/9IP, and 0.8 HR/9IP. He was way too old for the level at which he pitched, but he is another signal of the overall weakness of the Nats farm system. He's a #5 SP at best. O'Connor is rule 5 eligible this year, and I do not see the Nats adding him to the 40-man roster. His future may be with another team.
  4. Mike Hinckley LH SP - The 22-year old Hinckley was the Nationals top prospect coming into the 2005 season. Unfortunately, he battled inconsistency most of the year. In 21 starts (127.2 IP), he had a 4.93 ERA, 1.58 WHIP. 5.6 K/9IP, 3.6 BB/9IP, and 0.7 HR/9IP. He needs to rebound in 2006 and it will likely begin again with Potomac in 2006.

Nats Sign 4th Round Pick

H/T to Scott at Yuda's. The Nationals signed 2005 4th round pick, Justin Maxwell, an OF from the University of Maryland. Maxwell is an interesting prospect. The 6'5" 225-lb RH OF has the potential to be a corner OF with 20HR/20SB abilities and solid (if not Gold Glove) defense. But he is definitely injury-prone. It will be interesting to see where he will begin the season in 2006. Whether the Nationals will ease him in at Savannah or challenge him by placing him as high as Harrisburg. I would like to see him start the season at Potomac as a full-time player.

Farm Authority Report 10/10/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Phoenix 13-8]
  • Tony Blanco, starting LF - 2/5 2R 2RBI 1K 2HR; 1 two-out RBI; 1 runner left in scoring position with two-outs
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 1/4 1R 1BB 1E
  • Brendan Harris, starting SS - 2/4 2R 1BB double
  • Chris Schroder RP - 2IP 1H 1R(1ER) 3BB 4K 1WP
  • Roy Corcoran RP - 1.2IP 6H 4R(3ER) 1BB 1HR 1BK

Sunday, October 09, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/8/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Mesa 12-2 ... Saguaros are still winless]
  • Brendan Harris, starting 3B - 2/4 1R 2 doubles
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 2/3, left 1 RISP w/ 2-outs

Saturday, October 08, 2005

Farm Authority Report 10/7/05

Peoria Saguaros (AFL) [Lost to Peoria Javelinas 12-6]
  • Brendan Harris, 8th inning replacement at 3B - no official AB 0/0 1HBP
  • Tony Blanco, starting LF - 3/4 1R 1BB triple
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 0/3 1E
  • Chris Schroder, RP in the 4th with 2 outs, 1IP 5H 4R(4ER) 1BB 2K 1HR, Loss
  • Roy Corcoran, RP in the 5th with 2 outs, 2.1IP 2H 4R(3ER) 2BB 2K 1HR

Friday, October 07, 2005

Nationals Instructional League Cancelled?

From the Capitol Dugout message board. For those without accounts:

Instructionals in the Dominican Republic have been cancelled (for now) folks. Although it is not known why to us fans, this is a serious blow. This is where some serious player developement was supposed to take place (i.e; Casto switching to second base)

I'm seeing if I can confirm this with another source.

2006 Draft Order

Here's the 2006 draft order:

  1. Royals (56-106)
  2. Rockies (67-95)
  3. Devil Rays (67-95)
  4. Pirates (67-95)
  5. Mariners (69-93)
  6. Tigers (71-91)
  7. Dodgers (71-91)
  8. Reds (73-89)
  9. Orioles (74-88)
  10. Giants (75-87)
  11. Diamondbacks (77-85)
  12. Rangers (79-83)
  13. Cubs (79-83)
  14. Blue Jays (80-82)
  15. Nationals (81-81)
  16. Brewers (81-81)
  17. Padres (82-80)
  18. Mets (83-79)
  19. Marlins (83-79)
  20. Twins (83-79)
  21. Phillies (88-74)
  22. Athletics (88-74)
  23. Astros (89-73)
  24. Braves (90-72)
  25. Indians (93-69)
  26. Angels (95-67)
  27. Red Sox (95-67)
  28. Yankees (95-67)
  29. White Sox (99-63)
  30. Cardinals (100-62)

The top 15 picks are protected, meaning if the Nationals sign a Type A free agent, they would not have to surrender their first round pick.

UPDATE: In response to a comment from Chris, the Nationals are in the same position with regards to draft picks that they were last year. If a Type A free agent is signed, they would lose a 2nd round draft pick instead of the protected first round pick.

Thursday, October 06, 2005

Roster Decisions - Minor League Hitting

Yesterday, I looked at the roster decisions regarding minor league pitching. Today, I'm focusing on minor league hitters not on the 40-man roster. There are 52 hitters in the farm system that could be either Rule 5 candidates or 6-year free agents. In my opinion, there are three guys I would view as potential Rule 5 losses (assuming they are not placed on the 40-man prior to the draft).
  • Salomon Manriquez, RH CA - The 22-year old Manriquez had his best season by far in 2005 for the Potomac Nationals. He batted 287/336/479 in 119G with 43 XBH (15 HR). He is still a work in progress behind the plate. Odds are he will not be selected as teams are hesitant to roster a back-up catcher who has never played in the majors.
  • Josh Whitesell, LH 1B/DH - The 23-year old Whitesell continued his way up the organizational ladder with a full season in Potomac (293/409/524). He In 113G, he had 42 XBH (18 HR). Whitesell still struggles with the strikeouts (125K) and is very streaky. He could be grabbed by an AL team as a DH.
  • Rogearvin Bernadina, LH OF - The 21-year old OF would be selected for one reason, speed. He spent his third straight season with Savannah with little improvement at the plate. He could be selected to serve as a PR/late inning defensive replacement.

Additional names of note that I doubt will be selected but would be available:

  • IFs: Josh Labandeira,Shawn Norris, Marco Yepez, Brad Ditter, Ofilio Castro, and Trey Webb
  • OF: Francisco Plasencia

As for the 6-year free agents, the candidates are: Hector Ortiz, Juan Melo, Kevin Orie, Melvin Nieves, Juan Lorenzo, Dee Brown (not the 2005 draft pick), Henry Mateo, Ramon Castro, Scott Hodges, Billy Martin, Craig Kuzmic, Cristian Guerrero, Jason Bowers, Jesus Feliciano, Drew McMillan, Ender Chavez, Luis Apodaca, Matt Cepicky, Melvin Dorta, Richard Lane, Vince Rooi, Dan Dement, Dee Haynes, Edgar Gonzalez, Jason Belcher, John Wilson, Josh Emmerick, Lorvin Louisa, and Salomon Manriquez.

Farm Authority Report 10/5/05

Peoria (AFL) [Lost to Surprise 11-6]
  • Brendan Harris, starting 2B - 2/4 1R 3RBI 1HR 1K 1SF
  • Tony Blanco, starting DH - 1/4 1BB 1K 1SB
  • Larry Broadway, starting 1B - 0/2 1BB 2K
  • David Maust, SP - 1.1IP 6H 6R(6ER) 0BB 3K 1HR 10BF

Baseball America - PCL and EL Top 20s

Playing catch up on Baseball America's review of the top 20 prospects. First, the Eastern League, where only Ryan Zimmerman makes the Top 20 at #5. And today, the Pacific Coast League, where not surprisingly, no Nats crack the top 20. Questions from the Eastern League chat: Q: Everyone has heard about Zimmerman's glove, but what about his bat? His 58 AB audition was great, but who is he comparable long term to? Should we be more concerned over only 2 walks or 0 HR in 60 PAs. A: Zimmerman stepped up to Harrisburg after less than a week in low Class A, right out of college, and more than held his own. His best tool is his glove but he figures to post at least average numbers in batting average and home runs as he matures and learns the nuances of hitting. He could improve his plate discipline a touch, as he's very aggressive early in counts, especially with the fastball. He compares favorably to a Scott Brosius type of player, who might hit anywhere from No. 2 to No. 7 in a lineup. Q: Would you rather have Zimmerman or Marte? A: I have some concerns on Marte's bat. He really seems to struggle with pitch recognition and at this stage of his career, you would like to see a hitter have a better command of the zone than we saw from him. He still has a higher upside as a hitter than Zimmerman, but Zimmerman is closer to being able to contribute in the big leagues.

Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Roster Decisions - Minor League Pitching

In light of the Nationals latest moves, I wanted to take a look at the decisions the Nationals have in front of them. On Monday, Barry Svrluga provided a nice summary of the current status of each member of the 40-man roster. I'm going to take it one step further by also looking at the Nats farm system, specifically the guys who have been in the system long enough to warrant consideration for the 40-man roster, or free agency.

I'll start with those minor leaguer pitchers not on the 40-man roster. There are two distinct ways of looking at the minor leaguers (both pitchers and hitters):

  1. Rule 5 candidates: A player is eligible for the offseason Rule 5 draft if not on the 40-man MLB roster if he was <= 18 when he 1st signed a pro contract and this is the 4th Rule 5 draft since he signed or if he was >= 19 when he 1st signed a pro contract and this is the third Rule 5 draft since he signed. This was how Tony Blanco ended up on the Nationals and the reasoning behind the additions of Kory Casto, Frank Diaz, and Armando Galarraga to the Nats 40-man.
  2. Six-year minor league free agents: Like major leaguers, minor league players also enjoy free agency. Their contracts expire after 3 years, and unless their contracts are renewed by mutual agreement, they are released from any obligation to the major league club(If a player is on the 40-man roster, this rule does not apply.) . These renewals can be done for a maximum of 6 years. The rules differ for players who are not with their original organization, the team can opt to sign the player for however many years remain before the expiration of their sixth renewable contract.

There are 48 pitchers in the farm system that could be either Rule 5 candidates or 6-year free agents. In my opinion, there are two guys I would view as potential Rule 5 losses (assuming they are not placed on the 40-man prior to the draft).

  • Danny Rueckel, RH RP - The 25-year old was removed from the 40-man roster this year, and may not be in the Nats long term plans. RPs are often times grabbed by teams hoping to find diamonds in the rough.
  • Hector Cerezo, LH RP - The 23-year old Cerezo pitched briefly for the GCL Nats. He brings one thing that teams are always looking for Ks from a LHP. I doubt he'll be selected, but he's the type of guy who could go.

Additional names of note that I doubt will be selected but would be available:

  • RH SPs: David Maust, and Mike O'Connor
  • RH RPs: Saul Rivera, Nick Long, Warmar Gomez, Dan Kolb, Chris Schroder, Anthony Pearson, Gus Hlebovy, Brett Reid, and Mayque Quintero

As for the 6-year free agents, the candidates are: Dan Smith, Brian Powell, Micah Bowie, Chad Durbin, Joe Horgan, C.J. Nitkowski, Donnie Bridges, Jacobo Sequea, Mark DiFelice, Matt White, Justin Echols, Rich Rundles, Saul Rivera, Anthony Ferrari, Dave Gil, Ed Yarnall, and Jason Norderum.

Next I'll take a look at the hitters.

Farm Authority Report - Double-A Prospects

I apologize for the delay in getting this up. Without further ado, the top prospects in Harrisburg: Top 5 Hitting Prospects
  1. Ryan Zimmerman 3B - This was a no-brainer. He put up amazing numbers (326/371/528) for a 20-year old who started the year playing ACC baseball. In 67 total games (including 4 with Savannah), Zimmerman hit more HR (11) than he did in his entire college career (7 in three seasons). Since his promotion to the majors, he has shown gap power with a very fluid swing. The one thing that was never in question was his glove. He can already play 3B at a premium level. Zimmerman is scheduled to play for the Peoria Saguaros in the 2005 Arizona Fall League (AFL) where his focus should be hitting off-speed pitches. The only question remaining is how soon he will assume the starting 3B job.
  2. Larry Broadway 1B - Broadway remains one of the Nationals best power hitting prospect. The 24-year old had another injury-marred season, spraining his right knee in May and not returning until late June. He began the season with New Orleans where his numbers were not very good (193/281/246) in 18 games leading up his injury. He spent the rest of the season in Harrisburg (with a few rehab starts with the GCL Nationals) where his numbers improved (269/329/538). He showed signs of the power the Nationals lack with 12HR and 14 doubles in 186AB. Broadway will also be part of the Washington contingent in the AFL. It bears watching to see how much playing time he'll get with Pittsburgh prospect Brad Eldred a teammate.
  3. Cristian Guerrero OF - The 24-year old made his 4th appearance in Double-A for his 4th different team in 2005. The 6'5" RH OF put up average numbers (267/325/462) with 16 HR and 14 SB in practically a full season at Harrisburg. Proving poor plate patience is hereditary; Cristian demonstrated strike zone control that would make his cousin Vlad proud, 24 BB and 106 K. Guerrero is another member of the litany of #5 outfielders of which the Nats are flush.
  4. Melvin Dorta IF/OF - The 23-year old spent his season if Harrisburg playing every position except catcher (he even pitched an inning) while hitting 252/314/373. He demonstrated a little bit of pop 11HR to go with some better than average speed (22/35). He could compete in 2006 for a Jamey Carroll-type role if Carroll proves too expensive.
  5. Dan Dement IF/OF - Much like the Triple-A prospects, I'm going to close out with a guy who, by age, is not a prospect in the tarditional sense of the word. The 27-year old Dement split time between New Orleans and Harrisburg, with the majority of the time with the Senators. Dement batted 328/378/578 with 14HR 44RBI in 71G splitting time between 2B/3B/OF. He's a career minor leaguer, which is more a further testament to the lack of higher-level prospects in the Nationals farm system.

Special mention: Dee Haynes OF - The 27-year old Haynes was acquired from the Cardinals as just another warm body to help fill out the roster shuffling caused by injuries to the big league club. Haynes jumped on the starting opportunity, batting 274/321/505 with 21 HR in 101 games for the Senators. Haynes is no more than a career minor leaguer.

Ramon Castro SS/3B - The 25-year old Castro began the season surprising hitting (285/358/600) in 34 games before being suspended for a record 105 games for violating baseball's minor league drug policy. We'll never know how much of the strong start was artificially driven.

Shawn Norris 2B/3B/SS - The 23-year old Norris is known more for his glove than his bat. He hit well enough in 2004 (315/429/500 in 37G in Harrisburg) to put himself on the radar for 2005. However, his performance with the bat actually regressed. He split the year between Potomac (275/414/457 in 39G) and Harrisburg (233/303/322 in 84G). He disappointed in a year he had the clear opportunity to make himself valuable to a team experiencing MI problems.

Josh Labandeira SS - The 26-year old had a forgettable 2005 season after finishing 2004 with the Expos. He began the season recuperating from shoulder surgery, was suspended for 10 games for violating the substance abuse policy, and appeared to stagnate in Harrisburg. In 61G, he batted 269/371/358. Much like Norris, Labandeira was presented with the opportunity to make an impression on a team desperate for a utility MI, but failed to deliver.

Top 5 Pitching Prospects

  1. Darrel Rasner SP - The 24-year old RH SP pitched himself into a September call-up with a solid second season in Harrisburg. In a full season with the Senators, Rasner logged 150.1IP in 27G (26 starts) with a 3.59 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 5.8 K/9IP, 1.7 BB/9IP, and 0.6 HR/9IP. In his brief time with the Nats, he held his own in 5 appearances (1 start). In 7.1IP, he gave up 5H 3R(3ER) 2BB 4K. It would have been nice to see him get additional starts in late September, but Frank's loyalty to the veterans and a 4-man rotation cost Rasner valuable major league development time. Rasner is a sinkerball pitcher with good control (think Zach Day without the drama). He doesn't strike out enough batters to be a top of the rotation SP, but he could become a solid #4 SP out of Spring Training in 2006.
  2. Danny Rueckel RP - The 25-year old Baby Ruckles (trademark Federal Baseball) began the season on the 40-man roster but finished off of it, possibly exposed to the Rule 5 draft in December. In 53G at Harrisburg, he had 7 saves and 9 vulture wins. He has a 4.16 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 8.1 K/9IP, 2.4 BB/9IP, and 0.8 HR/9IP. His numbers were definitely impacted by several clunkers both early and late in the season. With the emergence of Gary Majewski, Jay Bergmann and Travis Hughes, Rueckel will face an uphill battle in vying for a spot in the 2006 bullpen. Perhaps a change of scenery is best for both parties.
  3. Josh Karp SP - The 25-year old Karp began to show some signs of the promise that made him the #6 overall selection in the 2001 draft. After initially struggling in New Orleans, he was placed on the DL with a strained shoulder. He began his rehab in Harrisburg, where he appeared in 11G (10 starts) pitching 57.2IP with a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 7.2 K/9IP, 3.6 BB/9IP, and 0.9 HR/9IP. Karp is currently in the AFL. He projects, like the majority of Nats premium pitching prospects, as a back of the rotation SP.
  4. David Maust SP - The 26-year old Maust is yet another old prospect for the Nats. In 26G (14 starts) in Harrisburg, Maust threw 100.2IP with a 2.32 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 7.0 K/9IP, 1.3 BB/9IP, and 0.6 HR/9IP. His numbers need to be tempered, as it was Maust's third year in Double-A. He was selected to participate in the AFL, so his performance against some of the top minor league prospects bear watching. I envision him as a long relief pitcher/swingman if he ever does make the majors.
  5. Saul Rivera RP - The 27-year old Rivera made a splash this season in Harrisburg as the pseudo-closer. In 40G, he had 9 saves in 76.2IP. He had a 2.47 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.2 K/9IP, 2.4 BB/9IP, and 0.4 HR/9IP. I don't see a huge upside to Rivera. He is another guy who could be a candidate for the Rule 5 draft.

Farm Authority Report 10/4/05

Peoria Saguaros (Arizona Fall League [AFL]) [Lost to Surprise 14-2]
  • Larry Broadway, 1B starter - 0/3 1BB 2K
  • Tony Blanco, PH/DH (entered game in 9th) - 0/1
  • Chris Schroder RP (entered game with 2 outs in the bottom of the 4th) - 1.1IP 2H 2R(2ER) 0BB 2K 1HR 6BF
  • FYI to the folks at Yuda's game day, Ryan Roberts of the Blue Jays started at 2B, not Brendan Harris

Monday, October 03, 2005

40-Man Roster Moves

The Nationals made three roster moves today. They activated RHP Antonio Osuna from the 60-day DL and released him along with CA Keith Osik and LHP John Halama. They selected the contracts of 2B/3B Kory Casto, OF Frank Diaz and RHP Armando Galarraga. The addition of these three players is no surprise as all of them needed to either be selected or exposed to the Rule 5 draft. I imagine this is just the first step in cleaning up the 40-man roster, as the Nats have a bevy of players on the 60-day DL and they need to figure out who is worthy of a 40-man roster spot. Of the three added today, the one with the most immediate promise is the 23-year old Galarraga. The RHP showed that he was recovered from Tommy John surgery, pitching very well at Potomac with a 2.48 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.9K/9IP, and 2.6BB/9. He held his own at Double-A Harrisburg (5.19, 1.32, 6.8, & 2.5). I view Galarraga as a #3 or4 SP when he finally makes the Nationals. He's still a year away in my opinion, but it's nice to see the Nationals are starting to show sho signs of life with pitching prospects. The 23 year old Casto is an intriguing guy this offseason. He was drafted as an OF and shifted to 3B this year where he was widely viewed as the most improved player in the Carolina League. However, the drafting and quick promotion of 3B Ryan Zimmerman apparently made those plans wasted. Casto is going to the Nationals Instructional League in the Dominican Republic to work out at 2B. The plan is then to send him to one of the various winter leagues to get additional seasoning. I am skeptical about his transition to 2B. I don't believe he will necessarily have the quickness needed to man 2B, but I hope I'm wrong. As a 2B, he has a much quicker path to the majors, given Jose Vidro's rash of injuries. Not to mention, the lack of any 2B prospect at Double-A or Triple-A. In the end I still believe if he does make the majors, it will be as a corner OF. In the best case, Casto would make the majors early next year as an injury replacement. Most likely, he'll get a September call-up and compete for a bench spot in 2007. The 20-year old Diaz played CF for Potomac in 2005. He showed a marked improvement in his offense (2004 in the Florida State League: 242/303/380 versus 2005 in the Carolina League: 312/341/498). He has a nice mix of speed (14/23 SB) and power (16 HR) from the CF position. While he does not project to be a star in the majors, I see him best filling the role similar to a Marlon Byrd, i.e. a #4 OF, if everything continues down this path. He's still 2 or 3 years from contributing.